Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 171.053647 203.024880 242.278326 295.060111 365.874588 4.602690e+02 600.604127
2025-01-12 129.986882 166.624150 217.246454 295.787191 421.952134 6.327930e+02 1057.769776
2025-01-19 105.986490 142.431515 196.706801 289.507466 459.799611 8.028454e+02 1733.123824
2025-01-26 97.180761 136.541546 199.563835 318.559406 571.354835 1.212042e+03 3923.443603
2025-02-02 93.341666 136.816789 211.526529 367.791438 758.932068 2.090892e+03 14563.884486
2025-02-09 83.507281 125.217054 199.726346 364.985809 822.528290 2.739863e+03 45320.057648
2025-02-16 76.736607 117.583353 193.335399 371.473009 919.947137 3.860349e+03 522488.389570
2025-02-23 71.246291 111.284753 188.077008 378.710486 1029.965192 5.634325e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 67.026085 106.636765 185.131121 390.838944 1175.350259 9.004999e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 62.774791 101.332085 179.755264 394.601509 1295.762126 1.416314e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 57.881522 94.216472 169.244875 380.256397 1318.761022 1.868139e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 55.504740 91.734952 168.657746 395.932093 1530.301284 4.125484e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 50.775716 84.517987 157.102357 376.693191 1538.070820 6.335079e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 47.747163 80.481739 152.558076 380.163704 1723.486775 2.265567e+05 NaN
2025-04-13 44.496199 75.627833 145.247424 371.595019 1816.367204 1.094151e+06 NaN
2025-04-20 43.815319 76.024441 150.919281 413.459561 2499.225875 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 44.024587 78.333957 162.067750 485.762319 4056.022013 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 41.632725 74.623004 156.295331 481.597462 4497.095119 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 39.879350 72.166806 153.612032 491.242741 5390.541330 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 38.309496 69.966979 151.289134 502.038875 6564.439186 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 37.040436 68.332892 150.344012 520.214626 8469.440521 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 35.587715 66.128691 147.338711 525.874420 10246.873766 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 33.690380 62.717430 140.186101 504.349770 10319.896546 NaN NaN